When in a more whimsical mood, I say that I'm (depending on the day) about a 4.97-point Calvinist. That rounds up to 5.
In my reading of Scripture, the T, U, I and P are pretty much directly, flat-out stated, in so many words. The L, less so -- but I find it to be the most natural and inescapable deduction from the direct statements of Scripture, and from the way the apostles preached and wrote.
The first time I read of this position (in Iain Murray's The Forgotten Spurgeon), it seemed like heresy. It contradicted what I thought it meant to preach the Gospel: "God loves you, and has a wonderful plan for your life. Jesus died for your sins." Later came the other Murray's (John) Redemption: Accomplished and Applied. Evidence was piling up.
But the pile became a mountainous avalanche when I read John Owen on the subject. Owen lays it out like the world's most formidable lawyer. Stroke by stroke, speck by speck, he inexorably paints the reader into a corner from which, so far as I know, none has ever escaped. I've read supposed "answers" to Owen in the years since -- and not only are they not answers, but they don't even seem to understand the question.
The question is, for the person who affirms the Biblical doctrine of the sovereignty of God, "What did Christ mean to accomplish, and what did He accomplish, by His death?"
Now one post by Jason Robertson over at Fide-o wraps it up about as concisely as I've ever seen it put. Robertson quotes Owen, then pointedly draws out the implications. Ken Fields thoughtfully provides the sourcing of the quotation in the Comments section.
Read it, ponder it, feel the weight of the logic. As far as I know, no one has ever made better sense of Scripture than the way Owen summarizes the case. Dodge, evade, duck, yes. Made better sense of Scripture, no.